Posts Tagged ‘collingwood’

aflfantasyRound 11 done and the Kneejerkers scrapped to 2066 due to late withdrawals, concussions, corked thighs and poor performances.
The big panic for a lot of coaches was the late withdrawal of Dane Swan just 90 mins before the Friday night match. I too went into a panic. After the week of debating, planning and reading, I thought my entire trading plan was going out the window.
Deep breaths later, I stuck to my guns and held Swan on the bench and had Hallahan take his spot on the field. Thats all good, he should be good for a score of 80. No he gets a 64 meanwhile my latest IN before the round of Shenton scores 83.
A question some are asking, what to do with Swan? Trade him out for a Barlow maybe? Hold on to him and hope the pig is back vs Melbourne this week? To make it tougher, Collingwood and Melbourne play on the Monday which means we wont know the teams until after lockout.
Rodney Eade has given his injury assessment stating Swan should play.
My plan is to hold him with my priority to strengthen the backline. But if you have more of a luxury trade this week, Barlow is a very good choice, averaging 106 over the last 3 rounds, and is priced nicely for a sideways trade.

How about the Swans? Wow, did not expect the 110 point drumming to the Cats on Thursday. They are playing exciting footy and very exciting Fantasy footy currently. Eight players over the 100 mark last week and eight players averaging over 100 in the last 3 weeks. Lets look at the 5 you must be watching.

Position  Price BE Round 11 L3 Rd Ave L5 Rd Ave Overall Ave
Josh P Jennedy MID  $            578,302 88 123 133.67 124 112.1
Craig Bird FWD / MID  $            449,313 29 131 117.33 108.8 87.88
Luke Parker FWD / MID  $            528,344 88 108 116 111 103.1
Kieren Jack MID  $            527,535 84 123 114.33 113 100.11
Lance Franklin FWD  $            435,357 48 113 111.33 97 84.78

As you can see, these 5 are hitting some great form and will be going up next week in price, some quite heftily. What other coaches say? Get on Parker straight away.
He is the number one forward of the fantasy comp. I had the chance to get him but I was concerned about his output now that Tippet and Franklin were finding their rhythm. The concern is still there. Normally you would take a score of 108 from a forward without hesitation but this was in a game where the Swans dominated by 110 points so should he have had more because of the huge attacking game? For the record, I picked up Harvey instead of Parker.
Franklin is on fire over the last 3-5 weeks (not including the Melbourne game of 41), his price is drool worthy and his BE makes it a decision you need to make straight away. But lets look at the Melbourne score, and the North Melbourne game and the GWS game. This is where Buddy can hurt but, you know what? All forwards will do this to you some weeks. Don’t worry about the sub par scores, get on Buddy. The price and form of the Swans makes him a must.
Craig Bird I’m not sold on. 131 last week vs the Cats makes him tempting, his price makes him tempting and his Dual Position makes him tempting and maybe its the crash of form last year that yells no, i’m just not sure. JPK you can’t go wrong and Jack is another good pick up for his price.

Last week I quickly spoke about Andrew Swallow. After his long term injury he has now played 3 games. Last week vs the Eagles he looked more comfortable and less rust in his legs. His hard ball gets are back, last week sometime too hard which did cost a couple of frees against. What I did highlight is his tackling side of the game. Previous 5 years he averages over 7 tackles a game. Let us have a look at him so far. Swallow started as a sub in his first game, rotated fairly regularly over his second and still spent more than normal time on the pine last week. It works out over the 3 games he has a TOG of 71.7%. This will increase as his return to fitness increases.
In this 71% TOG he has already accumulated 18 tackles (6 per game which is equal 18th in the AFL), averaging 8.3 contested possessions, 9.3 uncontested possessions and is increasing his Fanatsy score each week (62, 72 and 102).
Swallows original price tag was $512,00 and because of his slow ease into the game he has already dropped to $439,402 with a BE of 92. This means he will probabaly have 1 maybe 2 more price drops before he starts hitting his stride and averages the 100 mark.
Do we pick him up? Looking at round 13-14 to pick up a player, you should by then already have a very strong midfield with players averaging more than 100 but! If you still have a Nathan Jones type player, Swallow could be the $400k player to downgrade to. You know he will increase in value and output. North Melbourne has one of the easiest runs home and once he makes the extra cash, you could upgrade to a bigger pig. If you have a rookie topping out but you dont have enough for the full upgrade, maybe the extra $100K you need comes from Swallow. Or maybe you just want a cheaper option on the bench that you know will always perform.
What ever need you have for your team, keep an eye on Andrew Swallow.

Trades this week (remember its very early in week and teams not announced)
Langdon OUT –> McVeigh/Bartel IN
Wingard/Llyod OUT –> Cameron IN

aflfantasy Round 10 is complete, the final bye of the season is complete. Thank gosh for that.
The Kneejerkers had a mixture of results during the byes but overall I was quite happy.
I planned from the start of the season to have a 8/10/12 set up when round 8 arrived (first of the byes) and as tempting as some players got to pick up, I stuck to it. The results?
Round 8
OUT – Merret, Enright
IN – Robbie Gray, Kurt Aylet
Result: SCORE – 1738
Win in OTS League, Captain Fyfe with 260.

Round 9
OUT – Chapman, Polec
IN – Dane Swan, Taylor Walker
Result: SCORE – 1782
Loss in OTS League. Captain Ablett with 254

Round 10
OUT – Georgiou, Cunningham
IN – Matthew Jaensch, Jed Bews
Result: SCORE – 1747
Loss in OTS League. Captain Ablett with 156

As you can see, a very consistent score throughout the byes. Hindsight does make me question the Swan move but at the price he was, it was too hard to resist. Jaensch, I am happy to pick up and it does give me some cash in the bank but again, looking back and seeing I could have picked up Bartel (155 this week) does make me cry a little. But I have a plan and I am trying to stick to it. Bonus is my over rankings improved each week, after round 9 I did break into the top 2000 and after round 10 I improved again to currently sit at 1153.
What does the Kneejerkers look like after the byes and what is the plan?
Kneejerkers post bye
Well the plan from here is to strengthen the forward line. Maybe bring in a Dangerfield, Parker or Harvey and make Tex my bench cover. I am concerned about some of my almost premium mids though.
Macrae had a ripper start to the season but either he is getting tired or being tagged harder. With 4 weeks in a row of scores in the 80s, maybe it is time for him to depart. Nathan Jones was always going to be a brave POD and just before I cut him free, he scores 110 to stay in the team even with his bye but with two scores under 70 before that, alarm bells are ringing and then there is Swan. Was it a good move to bring in the traditional Fantasy pig? Or should i have spent extra coin for Pendlebury the new Fantasy pig?
This will be my debate but I think I will end up sticking with my plan for the Forwards and I probably will succumb to the need of having a North player so that would be Harvey.
Saying that, Andrew Swallow has now played 2 games under his belt after coming back from an Achilles injury. Scores of 62 and 72 were expected as he will be rusty since he hadn’t played since round 18 2013. This man is a sneaky premium midfielder and a tackling machine. In the last 5 years his tackling numbers have been 152, 183, 145, 164 and the short 2013 season still had 107 (that’s over 7 per game). He is already average over 4 tackles in just 2 games. He was priced at a premium of $512,000 but with limited time on the field he has already dropped by over $64,000 and still has a BE of 107. Next week North play West Coast at Patersons but after that, it maybe worth having a closer look in bringing him in for a Macrae or Jones.

aflfantasy

The nightmare that was round 6 is done but can you forget and move on?

1755 was my Dreamteam score….9 players scoring less than 65, 1 doughnut and a captain not reaching 100 points.

Thank you North Melbourne for  the win otherwise it would have been a giant #FMDT and #FAFL.

With the low score I still had a league win and than when I got to work the next day, I had a strut tipping 9 from 9……so I thought. Stupid hand written forms, somehow I had Brisbane to win over Sydney. When the fk is Brisbane ever going to beat Sydney at Sydney…..anyway back to DT.

Where do you start? With so many injuries and suspensions from the previous week, I was forced to trade the backline to plug holes. This meant Westhoff got another run……and not only did he score a most forgettable 33 points, he drop over $50K.

Needless to say he is gone. Which did get me thinking as to which Forward to bring in.

Name  Price 3 game Avg BE Last Score Std Dev
S. Johnson  $  543,700 128.00 58 136 20.29
N. Riewoldt  $  516,200 121.00 48 117 22.68
Cloke  $  491,700 111.67 115 121 29.11
Rockliff  $  506,200 109.00 102 85 17.76
Cox  $  495,700 96.00 93 112 19.34
LeCras  $  409,500 95.33 70 106 12.16
Bartel  $  453,600 95.00 61 138 22.62
Stokes  $  438,800 93.33 97 88 20.17
Garlett  $  409,500 93.00 70 97 20.85
Lewis  $  427,800 90.67 74 101 11.23

So here are the top 10 performing Forward eligible players in the last 3 weeks. Most have similar Standard Deviations, prices are very even as well. So what do you do?

Well for me, I already have 4 of the 10. That makes 6 potentials. So I look at the Std Dev which you would normally go the lowest. That would be Lewis and LeCras. Normally you would go the lowest but with averages of under 100, their ceiling (average + std dev) is not a competitive score. So you want a match winner, someone who can knock a DT score out of the park and has an average of over 100. Ok so now we have Stevie J, Cloke and Riewoldt.

The stand out would be Stevie J right? This man gets the ball, performs magic with the ball and kicks goals. He is amazing in the field. And that is why I picked him up after round 2.

Decision now is Cloke or Riewoldt. Or if you prefer, Wildcard v Reliable. With Riewoldt you know you will get 100% from him every week, he is the heart of St Kilda and you know even when the Saints are losing, Riewoldt will score well. And the Saints are losing….

Let’s look at Cloke.

After a ordinary season by his standards last year, Cloke had a point to prove. This year he looks sharp and fit. He takes marks, kicks goals and is a worry for all opposition defenders. More importantly he can win you a DT game. Sure he has had 2 scores under 70 but take that away and he has 96, 121, 147 and 121. You just know when on song, Cloke will score big.

Again, do you go the reliable Riewoldt? Or the game winning wildcard Cloke?…….or wake up to yourself, play catch up and get Stevie J?

aflfantasy This time I’m back for sure, well at least during the AFL season.

The completion of round has happened and I feel a lot of rage from watching the North Melbourne vs Geelong game so I feel I need to document my Kneejerkers DT and SC events. Maybe I will even inspire some fantasy footballers to listening to my advice (or highlight what not to do)

Kneejerkers are back for 2013 for AFL DreamTeam (now known as AFL Fantasy) but I thought I may dabble with Supercoach as well. I’ll mainly talk Dream Team

Now you would all know the changes to Dream Team this year with trades etc so I wont go into that too much at this point. In fact I will mention just this – DO NOT BE AFRAID TO TRADE EARLY AND EVERY WEEK

With 2 trades guaranteed every week, the fear of trading is gone but you still want to make money so try avoiding sideways trades unless injuries happen.

Saying all that, it is the end of round 2 and I have already used 3 trades 😉

First week was to make sure I didn’t have any holes in the my team with certain rookies not playing and cheaper ones did

OUT: Kane Mitchell and Brent Macaffer ($251,900) IN: Brad Crouch and Sam Dwyer ($197,800)     –     REASON: For the price McCaffer was vs the return add the fact I had the coverage on field with Neade, Dwyer gave me cash with same scores. Mitchell will get the Green Vest more often than not and Crouch looks to be the injection the Crows need ATM. RESULT: Kitty of $78,300

After round 2 the automatic trade was taking away my fill in ruckman Zac Smith, who is playing some very ordinary football but he did set aside the cash for my real target in Matthew Lueunberger, the cheap almost premium ruckman who made a great return last week with 74.

OUT: Zac Smith ($300,700) IN: Matt Lueunberger ($233,600)    –    REASON: Not only was Smith poor in DT performance but the Burger was back from injury. Lueunberger was always my target as with most Fantasy coaches with his potential and low price. RESULT: Kitty of $145,400.

Now with one trade left up sleeve for the week, I have options but nothing clear cut. Mid price Forward option Karnezis had a 66 game in RD1 and a green vested 9 points in Rd2. His breakeven is achievable though at 64…but will he play? There is also Premium priced Zorko, is he having 2nd year blues or will he fire? So far with scores of 52 and 75 and a breakeven of 158, you know he will lose money but you don’t know if he will turn it around. Will Brisbane suffer he NAB Cup curse?

Decisions……I am more in the mindset to hold on to both. Trading Karnezis for similar pricing really only leaves Varcoe which you know he will play. Zorko though,hmm. Westhoff is on fire with an average of 127 but another Port player just feels wrong, same with Monfries . Ideally I want Steve Johnson but its a least another 4 weeks till he is back. Anyway..I’m not spending all my kitty at this stage. That is for upgrading the rookies.

Overall the Kneejerkers are scoring well with 2058 and 1989 in the 1st two rounds. My POD Andrew Swallow has worked a treat with 141 and 115 returns AND less than 5% of coaches have him! Now I don’t want to give my team away too much as the Head to Head is about to start but I think finding POD is harder this year. It seems the same rookies are in each team and the stock standards Premium mids are there.

Expect more Kneejerkers talk throughout the week as I aim to not just talk about my DT and SC sides but the fantasy AFL world as a whole.

They don’t come much bigger than Aaron Sandilands and they don’t come much better in the ruck but big Sandi has hurt us Dream Teamers.
Most coaches held on to Sandi over the 4 weeks while he was injured as we all new, and hoped, he would come back stronger. Not this time.
Sandilands has done more damage to his toe which could have him out for up to month of footy!

The question is now, what do we do?
1. We could hold out for another month, if we have the coverage, so Sandilands comes back for the Dream Team finals.
2. We could cash him in to get a large wad of cash and hope Zac Smith continues his great form.
3. We could trade him to another star ruck. But who? Goldstien is on fire but North Melbourne have a bye in the finals. Same is said for Petrie. Than there is McEvoy from the Saints. The way the Saints are playing, I would baulk at taking anyone from the Saints. The only other Ruckman getting games with a high 90 average is Cox and if you didnt have him in your team already, why are you playing Dream Team?

So that is the dilemma that most Dream Team coaches would have this week. It is a good one.
What am I going to do? Hmmm I do have Zac Smith and Max Bailey looks like a good trade down to give me a crap load of cash…..Decisions!

Episode 2 of One Troll Short has been released. Because of some editing issues, it is late and unfortunately after the completion of round 2 in the AFL.
But listen, enjoy and take note in what I had to say about Fremantle!

One Troll Short episode 2

Oh and it does look like these podcasts will be all about AFL and Dream Team….we just can’t fit anything else in.

Round 2 has finished. It is the round that a lot of coaches go trade mad. The prices of each player will change after round 3 so many coaches start dropping their poor choices while the prices are stable.
For me, I fell into this trap every year I have played DT and I am determined not to do it again…..but!
Tippet the spud scores 40pts against Fremantle and when you add his 60 from Rd 1….he is a spud and it is hurting my rucks.
The answer to Barry Hall or not to Barry Hall at this stage is not to Barry Hall. The difference is, it is only round 2 and Barry Hall, and the delivery to him, will improve where Tippet and the Crows look like they are in for a long year.

Anyway, I finished with a comfortable 2108 this week, again with 3 players on the bench out scoring their on field counterparts and 5 players scoring less than 60 points.
As for any changes for round 3….no trades but maybe some switches from the bench.

It is that time again! AFL footy season is almost upon us once more! hoo-bloody-ray!
Last Monday the AFL Dreamteam opened up and I have been at it ever since trying to get a team together.
I know, very keen. The NAB Cup hasn’t even begun so how would I know what rookie to get? Don’t care. I have a team now and it will probably change after the NAB cup but I am keen to get it started.
They have made some changes this year. The salary cap is lower but players are more expansive (including rookies!) and for the 1st time, you will be able to swap players in your team to different positions (ie Move a Ruckman into you Forward line) without costing a trade.
Here is my current list:
BACKS:JGram, CEnright, CCornes, LHodge, SHurn, TKennelly, RSchoenmakers, PDavies, JTrengrove
CENTRES:LHayes, JCorey, LBall, RPalmer, RLadson, DMartin, JMelksham, LShuey
RUCKS: ASandilands, DJolly, MLobbe, JRoughead
FORWARDS: NReiwoldt, JBrown, MLeCras, BHall, BWarren, PDangerfield, BBurton, SGumbleton, LTapscott

Now I must wait for the NAB cup to finalise the line up. Make sure the few coming back from injury actually comeback. May trade Sandi and Ladson out and put in H_mac and spend a bit more in backline…hmmm.
If you want to join our league, you are welcome to. The league code is 724942.

afl North Melbourne have announced today the appointment of the new senior coach, Brad Scott.
Brad Scott will take over in 2010 with Crocker remaining in charge to the end of this season.
I do not remember Brad Scott playing for Brisbane in their premiership 2001 and 2003 sides. In fact I can’t say I remember him at all.
Saying that, is credentials look great. Currently mid-field coach of Collingwood (and how bloody good is that mid field with the likes of Swan, Pendlebury, Beams, Wellingham and so on) before that he was their development coach. In his playing days, he was a hard nut and renown for his fierceness at the ball.

If he can bring across the fierceness to the Roos, and develop a strong mid field, I can not wait.
Now all we need is a forward line.

*EDIT* I do remember Scott from his playing days finally. And yes he was a hard ball defender. If he can bring with him the hardness and commitment back to the Roos, (specially the tackling!) I will be excited to see where North will be in 2 seasons.

afl What a match last week! With gaps all over the field, Dal Santo pulling out last minute, captain Bartel playing crap and both ruckman failing..not to mention Franklin!
So what was the outcome?
Lucky for me, Dodgey Fellas also had gaps in the field including their captain!And the VC was SJohnson who had a shocker!
Kneejerkers win by 13 points!
Hell yeah!…..then this weeks team line ups were released….
Hell no!
I have more holes than swiss cheese in my backline again. No Grimes, Geary, Post and Petrenko is an emergency!
What does this mean for this weekends semi final against the Indefatigables?
Well I do have a lot of guns back in the side but 1-2 doughnuts in the back are going to hurt. And with out of form Franklin, SJohnson and unpredictable Russell, I am not overly confident.

DEF: Gilbert, McMahon, Hodge, Drummond, Houlihan and possible Petrenko
MID: Bartel, Dal Santo (vc), Lockyer, Griffen, CCornes, Beams
RUC: McIntosh, Sandilands
FWD: Riewoldt, SJohnson, Didak, Pavlich, Franklin, DThomas, MBrown

Gadget, I hope your Geelong players fail miserably…cept Bartel and SJohnson of course.